Index & Sector ETF Signals - 7/20/2018 Update

TrendFlex signals for select index and sector SPDR ETF's below are based on a trend-following system filtered to identify the "risk" to a change in the trend. ETF's represent US and foreign equities, commodities, bonds and the US Dollar.

Major Index ETF's 

Symbol 

     Trend

Trend Change Risk 

Observations and Rationale
 SPY

 Bullish 

Hi

Increased risk of pullback at resistance near record high

 DBA Bearish  Med Forming a higher low; deadcat bounce on Friday 
 GLD Bearish Med Downtrend continues; rising US dollar a factor
 VGK Bullish   Low Consolidating in an uptrend; possible breakout near
 UUP Bullish Med Rising rates positive
 TLT Bullish   Med Trading range as rates fluctuate
EEM Bullish   Med Consolidating gains; watch for potential shift to downtrend if breaks 40

ETF Technical Leaders

The following table represents ETF's that are in bullish trends and represent technically attractive reward-to-risk entry points (for example, we will shy away from adding an overbought ETF). Although these ETF selections have been pre-screened, investors are advised to pursue their own research to determine whether they are appropriate for their portfolios. Selections are time-sensitive and represent short-term swing trading opportunities that may or may not follow-through on a longer-term basis. In addition, selections may be voided once a market trend change has occurred based on the TrendFlex signals. Visit our FAQ's  for more suggestions regarding ETF Zone. Check back frequently as additional ETF's may be added to the week's list. 

Symbol Rationale Close Date Added
DEM Emerging markets dividend ETF consolidating recent gains; near 50-day MOV; 3.85% yield 43.66 7/20/18
XBI SPDR Biotech ETF bounces at support after modest correction 82.28 12/7/17
PFF Long basing pattern; closed above 50-day moving avg; 5.97% yield 38.13 11/18/17
RSX Basing at 50-day moving average; attractive entry 20.49 8/24/17
EWI iShares Italy ETF inexpensive and possible long-term bottom formed 22.13 12/02/16
XLY Retracement from recent gains; attractive entry point 81.44 12/02/16 
XLV  Post-election catch-up;  nearing positive moving avg. cross (50 over 200 day)  70.49 11/11/16 
Continue reading
6 Hits

Index & Sector ETF Signals - 1/12/2018 Update

Note: ETF's signals are no longer updated here, and are now managed through the Market Trend portfolio of The Absolute Return, LLC. For more information about the ETF-based Market Trend Portfolio of The Absolute Return, LLC., click here.

TrendFlex signals for select index and sector SPDR ETF's below are based on a trend-following system filtered to identify the "risk" to a change in the trend. ETF's represent US and foreign equities, commodities, bonds and the US Dollar.

Major Index ETF's 

Symbol 

     Trend

Trend Change Risk 

Observations and Rationale
 SPY

 Bullish 

Hi

Increased risk of pullback

 DBA Bearish  Med Possibly forming a higher low; watch for major trend change
 GLD Bullish Med Trending up; attractive contrarian position and hedge; resistance at 130
 VGK Bullish   Hi Overbought; more attractive value vs. US stocks
 UUP Bearish High Nearing major support; oversold; rising rates positive
 TLT Bullish   Low Clean bounce from support near 123; likely trading range
EEM Bullish   Med Overbought

Select Sector SPDR ETF's

 Symbol  Trend

Trend Change Risk

Notes
XLK Bullish Hi New high; overbought
XLU Bearish Low Rotation out of rate-sensitive stocks
XLI  Bullish Hi Increased risk of pullback; support near 72.50
XLB Bullish Hi Overbought
XLV  Bullish Hi Overbought; support near 84
XLE Bullish Med Closing in on resistance newar 75
XLP  Bullish Med Trading range
XLY Bullish Hi Overbought; support near 101
XLF  Bullish Med Overbought; but macro trends favor sector

ETF Technical Leaders

The following table represents ETF's that are in bullish trends and represent technically attractive reward-to-risk entry points (for example, we will shy away from adding an overbought ETF). Although these ETF selections have been pre-screened, investors are advised to pursue their own research to determine whether they are appropriate for their portfolios. Selections are time-sensitive and represent short-term swing trading opportunities that may or may not follow-through on a longer-term basis. In addition, selections may be voided once a market trend change has occurred based on the TrendFlex signals. Visit our FAQ's  for more suggestions regarding ETF Zone. Check back frequently as additional ETF's may be added to the week's list. 

Symbol Rationale Close Date Added
XBI SPDR Biotech ETF bounces at support after modest correction 82.28 12/7/17
PFF Long basing pattern; closed above 50-day moving avg; 5.97% yield 38.13 11/18/17
RSX Basing at 50-day moving average; attractive entry 20.49 8/24/17
EWI iShares Italy ETF inexpensive and possible long-term bottom formed 22.13 12/02/16
XLY Retracement from recent gains; attractive entry point 81.44 12/02/16 
XLV  Post-election catch-up;  nearing positive moving avg. cross (50 over 200 day)  70.49 11/11/16 
Continue reading
434 Hits

Index & Sector ETF Signals - 1/5/2018 Update

Note: Next update following the market close of 1/5/2018.

TrendFlex signals for select index and sector SPDR ETF's below are based on a trend-following system filtered to identify the "risk" to a change in the trend. ETF's represent US and foreign equities, commodities, bonds and the US Dollar.

Major Index ETF's 

Symbol 

     Trend

Trend Change Risk 

Observations and Rationale
 SPY

 Bullish 

Hi

Increased risk of pullback

 DBA Bearish  Low Correcting following short-term rally
 GLD Bullish Med Trending up; attractive contrarian position and hedge; resistance at 130
 VGK Bullish   Hi Overbought; more attractive value vs. US stocks
 UUP Bearish High Nearing major support; oversold; rising rates positive
 TLT Bullish   Med Trading range; resistance 128 support 122-123
EEM Bullish   Med Overbought

Select Sector SPDR ETF's

 Symbol  Trend

Trend Change Risk

Notes
XLK Bullish Hi New high; overbought
XLU Bearish Low Rotation out of rate-sensitive stocks
XLI  Bullish Hi Increased risk of pullback; support near 72.50
XLB Bullish Hi Overbought
XLV  Bullish Hi Overbought; support near 84
XLE Bullish Med Approaching resistance newar 75
XLP  Bullish Med Trading range
XLY Bullish Hi Overbought; support near 99
XLF  Bullish Med Overbought; but macro trends favor sector

ETF Technical Leaders

The following table represents ETF's that are in bullish trends and represent technically attractive reward-to-risk entry points (for example, we will shy away from adding an overbought ETF). Although these ETF selections have been pre-screened, investors are advised to pursue their own research to determine whether they are appropriate for their portfolios. Selections are time-sensitive and represent short-term swing trading opportunities that may or may not follow-through on a longer-term basis. In addition, selections may be voided once a market trend change has occurred based on the TrendFlex signals. Visit our FAQ's  for more suggestions regarding ETF Zone. Check back frequently as additional ETF's may be added to the week's list. 

Symbol Rationale Close Date Added
XBI SPDR Biotech ETF bounces at support after modest correction 82.28 12/7/17
PFF Long basing pattern; closed above 50-day moving avg; 5.97% yield 38.13 11/18/17
RSX Basing at 50-day moving average; attractive entry 20.49 8/24/17
EWI iShares Italy ETF inexpensive and possible long-term bottom formed 22.13 12/02/16
XLY Retracement from recent gains; attractive entry point 81.44 12/02/16 
XLV  Post-election catch-up;  nearing positive moving avg. cross (50 over 200 day)  70.49 11/11/16 
Continue reading
454 Hits

Index & Sector ETF Signals - 12/15/2017 Update

Note: Next update following the market close of 1/5/2018.

TrendFlex signals for select index and sector SPDR ETF's below are based on a trend-following system filtered to identify the "risk" to a change in the trend. ETF's represent US and foreign equities, commodities, bonds and the US Dollar.

Major Index ETF's 

Symbol 

     Trend

Trend Change Risk 

Observations and Rationale
 SPY

 Bullish 

Hi

Increased risk of pullback

 DBA Bearish  Low New lows' attempted bottoming action appears unconvincing
 GLD Bullish Low Trending up; attractive contrarian position and hedge
 VGK Bullish   Hi Attractive entry during basing pattern; nice value vs. US stocks
 UUP Bearish High Attemtin to resume uptrend; breakout above 24.80 sets bullish trend
 TLT Bullish   Med Meeting up with resistance near 128
EEM Bullish   Med Basing pattern; attractive entry near 45

Select Sector SPDR ETF's

 Symbol  Trend

Trend Change Risk

Notes
XLK Bullish Hi New high
XLU Bullish Low Attractive entry near 55
XLI  Bullish Hi Increased risk of pullback; support near 72
XLB Bullish Med Backing off from resistance near 60
XLV  Bullish Med Backing off from resistance near 84; attractive entry 81-82
XLE Bullish Low Firming uptrend, support at 67
XLP  Bullish Hi Overbought
XLY Bullish Hi Overbought
XLF  Bullish Med Strong breakout; macro trend favor financials; backing off from overbought

ETF Technical Leaders

The following table represents ETF's that are in bullish trends and represent technically attractive reward-to-risk entry points (for example, we will shy away from adding an overbought ETF). Although these ETF selections have been pre-screened, investors are advised to pursue their own research to determine whether they are appropriate for their portfolios. Selections are time-sensitive and represent short-term swing trading opportunities that may or may not follow-through on a longer-term basis. In addition, selections may be voided once a market trend change has occurred based on the TrendFlex signals. Visit our FAQ's  for more suggestions regarding ETF Zone. Check back frequently as additional ETF's may be added to the week's list. 

Symbol Rationale Close Date Added
XBI SPDR Biotech ETF bounces at support after modest correction 82.28 12/7/17
PFF Long basing pattern; closed above 50-day moving avg; 5.97% yield 38.13 11/18/17
RSX Basing at 50-day moving average; attractive entry 20.49 8/24/17
EWI iShares Italy ETF inexpensive and possible long-term bottom formed 22.13 12/02/16
XLY Retracement from recent gains; attractive entry point 81.44 12/02/16 
XLV  Post-election catch-up;  nearing positive moving avg. cross (50 over 200 day)  70.49 11/11/16 
Continue reading
468 Hits

Index & Sector ETF Signals - 12/1/2017 Update

Note: Next update following the market close of 12/15/2017.

TrendFlex signals for select index and sector SPDR ETF's below are based on a trend-following system filtered to identify the "risk" to a change in the trend. ETF's represent US and foreign equities, commodities, bonds and the US Dollar.

Major Index ETF's 

Symbol 

     Trend

Trend Change Risk 

Observations and Rationale
 SPY

 Bullish 

Hi

Increased risk of continued pullback

 DBA Bearish  Low Attempted bottoming action appears unconvincing
 GLD Bullish Low Trending up; attractive contrarian position and hedge
 VGK Bullish   Hi Attractive US alternative' holding to 50-day 
 UUP Bearish High Correcting from recent rally; 50 day moving avg. resistance. Breakout above 24.80 sets bullish trend
 TLT Bullish   Med Attractive entry point; resistance near 128
EEM Bullish   Med Basing pattern; attractive entry near 45

Select Sector SPDR ETF's

 Symbol  Trend

Trend Change Risk

Notes
XLK Bullish Hi Volatile; attractive entry near 61.
XLU Bullish Low Potential topping; resistance near 57.
XLI  Bullish Hi Increased risk of pullback; support near 71
XLB Bullish Low Possible double top; resistance naer 60
XLV  Bullish Med Correcting; Attractive entry near 80
XLE Bullish Low Firming uptrend, support at 67
XLP  Bullish Hi Resistance near 67; topping pattern
XLY Bullish Hi Overbought
XLF  Bullish Med Strong breakout; macro trend favor financials; nearing poverbought

ETF Technical Leaders

The following table represents ETF's that are in bullish trends and represent technically attractive reward-to-risk entry points (for example, we will shy away from adding an overbought ETF). Although these ETF selections have been pre-screened, investors are advised to pursue their own research to determine whether they are appropriate for their portfolios. Selections are time-sensitive and represent short-term swing trading opportunities that may or may not follow-through on a longer-term basis. In addition, selections may be voided once a market trend change has occurred based on the TrendFlex signals. Visit our FAQ's  for more suggestions regarding ETF Zone. Check back frequently as additional ETF's may be added to the week's list. 

Symbol Rationale Close Date Added
XBI SPDR Biotech ETF bounces at support after modest correction 82.28 12/7/17
PFF Long basing pattern; closed above 50-day moving avg; 5.97% yield 38.13 11/18/17
RSX Basing at 50-day moving average; attractive entry 20.49 8/24/17
EWI iShares Italy ETF inexpensive and possible long-term bottom formed 22.13 12/02/16
XLY Retracement from recent gains; attractive entry point 81.44 12/02/16 
XLV  Post-election catch-up;  nearing positive moving avg. cross (50 over 200 day)  70.49 11/11/16 
Continue reading
598 Hits

Index & Sector ETF Signals - 11/17/2017 Update

Note: Next update following the market close of 12/1/2107.

TrendFlex signals for select index and sector SPDR ETF's below are based on a trend-following system filtered to identify the "risk" to a change in the trend. ETF's represent US and foreign equities, commodities, bonds and the US Dollar.

Major Index ETF's 

Symbol 

     Trend

Trend Change Risk 

Observations and Rationale
 SPY

 Bullish 

Hi

Increased risk of continued pullback

 DBA Bearish  Low Correction disrupts modest rally
 GLD Bullish Low Holding its 50-day moving avg; attractive contrarian position
 VGK Bullish   Hi Correcting from overbought state
 UUP Bearish High Correcting from recent rally; 50 day moving avg. resistance. Breakout above 24.80 sets bullish trend
 TLT Bullish   Med Attractive entry point; resistance near 128
EEM Bullish   Med Overbought; attractive entry near 45

Select Sector SPDR ETF's

 Symbol  Trend

Trend Change Risk

Notes
XLK Bullish Hi Overbought; attractive entry 61-62 
XLU Bullish Low Attractive entry
XLI  Bullish Hi Increased risk of pullback; suuport near 69
XLB Bullish Low Bounce off 50-day; attractive entry
XLV  Bullish Med Correcting; Attractive entry near 80
XLE Bullish Low Support at 67
XLP  Bullish Hi Overbought; attractive entrynear 54
XLY Bullish Hi Overbought
XLF  Bullish Med Attractive entry 

ETF Technical Leaders

The following table represents ETF's that are in bullish trends and represent technically attractive reward-to-risk entry points (for example, we will shy away from adding an overbought ETF). Although these ETF selections have been pre-screened, investors are advised to pursue their own research to determine whether they are appropriate for their portfolios. Selections are time-sensitive and represent short-term swing trading opportunities that may or may not follow-through on a longer-term basis. In addition, selections may be voided once a market trend change has occurred based on the TrendFlex signals. Visit our FAQ's  for more suggestions regarding ETF Zone. Check back frequently as additional ETF's may be added to the week's list. 

Symbol Rationale Close Date Added
PFF Long basing pattern; closed above 50-day moving avg; 5.97% yield 38.13 11/18/17
RSX Basing at 50-day moving average; attractive entry 20.49 8/24/17
EWI iShares Italy ETF inexpensive and possible long-term bottom formed 22.13 12/02/16
XLY Retracement from recent gains; attractive entry point 81.44 12/02/16 
XLV  Post-election catch-up;  nearing positive moving avg. cross (50 over 200 day)  70.49 11/11/16 
Continue reading
382 Hits

Index & Sector ETF Signals - 10/27/2017 Update

No Update week ending 11/17/17

TrendFlex signals for select index and sector SPDR ETF's below are based on a trend-following system filtered to identify the "risk" to a change in the trend. ETF's represent US and foreign equities, commodities, bonds and the US Dollar.

Major Index ETF's 

Symbol

Trend  

Trend Change Risk  

Observations and Rationale
 SPY  Bullish       Hi

 Increased risk of pullback

 DBA Bearish  Low Modest rally may be aging
 GLD Bullish Med Contrarian position, but range-bound with resistance at 130
 VGK Bullish   Low Increased risk of pullback
 UUP Bearish High Rallying; looking for trend breakout; resistance at 25-26
 TLT Bullish   Med Attractive entry point; resistance near 28
EEM Bullish   Med Overbought; attractive entry near 43


 Sector SPDR ETF's

 Symbol  Trend

Trend Change Risk

Notes
XLK Bullish Hi Overbought
XLU Bullish Low Attractive entry
XLI  Bullish Hi Increased risk of pullback
XLB Bullish Med Attractive entry
XLV  Bullish Med Attractive entry
XLE Bullish Low New uptrend; may see trading range
XLP  Bullish Hi Threatening support
XLY Bullish Med Attractive entry
XLF  Bullish Hi Overbought


 

 

ETF Technical Leaders

The following table represents ETF's that are in bullish trends and represent technically attractive reward-to-risk entry points (for example, we will shy away from adding an overbought ETF). Although these ETF selections have been pre-screened, investors are advised to pursue their own research to determine whether they are appropriate for their portfolios. Selections are time-sensitive and represent short-term swing trading opportunities that may or may not follow-through on a longer-term basis. In addition, selections may be voided once a market trend change has occurred based on the TrendFlex signals. Visit our FAQ's  for more suggestions regarding ETF Zone. Check back frequently as additional ETF's may be added to the week's list. 

Symbol Rationale Close Date Added
RSX Basing at 50-day moving average; attractive entry  20.49  8/24/17 
EWI iShares Italy ETF inexpensive and possible long-term bottom formed 22.13 12/02/16
XLY Retracement from recent gains; attractive entry point 81.44 12/02/16 
XLV  Post-election catch-up;  nearing positive moving avg. cross (50 over 200 day)  70.49 11/11/16 
Continue reading
456 Hits

Index & Sector ETF Signals - 10/20/2017 Update

No Update week ending 10/20/17

TrendFlex signals for the major index and sector SPDR ETF's below are based on a trend-following system filtered to identify the "risk" to a change in the trend. 

Major Index ETF's 

 Symbol  Trend

Trend Change Risk

Notes
 DIA Bullish Hi Increased risk of pullback
 SPY  Bullish Hi

 Increased risk of pullback

 QQQ Bullish Med Tradding range; attractive entry
 IWM Bullish Med New high; overbought
 DBA Bearish Low Way oversold; can't seem to find a bottom
 GLD Bullish Low Attractive contrarian position; attractive entry point
 VGK Bullish Low Working toward new high
 UUP Bearish High Looking for a bounce
 TLT Bullish Med Attractive entry point
EEM Bullish Med Overbought


 Sector SPDR ETF's

 Symbol  Trend

Trend Change Risk

Notes
XLK Bullish Hi Overbought
XLU Bullish Low Attractive entry
XLI  Bullish Hi Increased risk of pullback
XLB Bullish Med Attractive entry
XLV  Bullish Med Attractive entry
XLE Bullish Low New uptrend; may see trading range
XLP  Bullish Hi Threatening support
XLY Bullish Med Attractive entry
XLF  Bullish Hi Overbought


 

 

ETF Technical Leaders

The following table represents ETF's that are in bullish trends and represent technically attractive reward-to-risk entry points (for example, we will shy away from adding an overbought ETF). Although these ETF selections have been pre-screened, investors are advised to pursue their own research to determine whether they are appropriate for their portfolios. Selections are time-sensitive and represent short-term swing trading opportunities that may or may not follow-through on a longer-term basis. In addition, selections may be voided once a market trend change has occurred based on the TrendFlex signals. Visit our FAQ's  for more suggestions regarding ETF Zone. Check back frequently as additional ETF's may be added to the week's list. 

Symbol Rationale Close Date Added
RSX Basing at 50-day moving average; attractive entry 20.49 8/24/17
EWI iShares Italy ETF inexpensive and possible long-term bottom formed 22.13 12/02/16
XLY Retracement from recent gains; attractive entry point 81.44 12/02/16 
XLV  Post-election catch-up;  nearing positive moving avg. cross (50 over 200 day)  70.49 11/11/16 
Continue reading
449 Hits

Index & Sector ETF Signals - 10/06/2017 Update

No Update week ending 10/13/17

TrendFlex signals for the major index and sector SPDR ETF's below are based on a trend-following system filtered to identify the "risk" to a change in the trend. 

Major Index ETF's 

 Symbol  Trend

Trend Change Risk

Notes
 DIA Bullish Hi Increased risk of pullback
 SPY  Bullish Hi

 Increased risk of pullback

 QQQ Bullish Med Tradding range; attractive entry
 IWM Bullish Med New high; overbought
 DBA Bearish Low Way oversold; can't seem to find a bottom
 GLD Bullish Low Attractive contrarian position; attractive entry point
 VGK Bullish Low Working toward new high
 UUP Bearish High Looking for a bounce
 TLT Bullish Med Attractive entry point
EEM Bullish Med Overbought


 Sector SPDR ETF's

 Symbol  Trend

Trend Change Risk

Notes
XLK Bullish Hi Overbought
XLU Bullish Low Attractive entry
XLI  Bullish Hi Increased risk of pullback
XLB Bullish Med Attractive entry
XLV  Bullish Med Attractive entry
XLE Bullish Low New uptrend; may see trading range
XLP  Bullish Hi Threatening support
XLY Bullish Med Attractive entry
XLF  Bullish Hi Overbought


 

 

ETF Technical Leaders

The following table represents ETF's that are in bullish trends and represent technically attractive reward-to-risk entry points (for example, we will shy away from adding an overbought ETF). Although these ETF selections have been pre-screened, investors are advised to pursue their own research to determine whether they are appropriate for their portfolios. Selections are time-sensitive and represent short-term swing trading opportunities that may or may not follow-through on a longer-term basis. In addition, selections may be voided once a market trend change has occurred based on the TrendFlex signals. Visit our FAQ's  for more suggestions regarding ETF Zone. Check back frequently as additional ETF's may be added to the week's list. 

Symbol Rationale Close Date Added
RSX Basing at 50-day moving average; attractive entry 20.49 8/24/17
EWI iShares Italy ETF inexpensive and possible long-term bottom formed 22.13 12/02/16
XLY Retracement from recent gains; attractive entry point 81.44 12/02/16 
XLV  Post-election catch-up;  nearing positive moving avg. cross (50 over 200 day)  70.49 11/11/16 
Continue reading
578 Hits

Index & Sector ETF Signals - 9/29/2017 Update

TrendFlex signals for the major index and sector SPDR ETF's below are based on a trend-following system filtered to identify the "risk" to a change in the trend. 

Major Index ETF's 

 Symbol  Trend

Trend Change Risk

Notes
 DIA Bullish Hi Increased risk of pullback
 SPY  Bullish Hi

 Increased risk of pullback

 QQQ Bullish Med Tradding range; attractive entry
 IWM Bullish Med New high; overbought
 DBA Bearish Low Way oversold; can't seem to find a bottom
 GLD Bullish Low Attractive contrarian position; attractive entry point
 VGK Bullish Low Working toward new high
 UUP Bearish High Looking for a bounce
 TLT Bullish Med Attractive entry point
EEM Bullish Med Overbought


 Sector SPDR ETF's

 Symbol  Trend

Trend Change Risk

Notes
XLK Bullish Hi Overbought
XLU Bullish Low Attractive entry
XLI  Bullish Hi Increased risk of pullback
XLB Bullish Med Attractive entry
XLV  Bullish Med Attractive entry
XLE Bullish Low New uptrend; may see trading range
XLP  Bullish Hi Threatening support
XLY Bullish Med Attractive entry
XLF  Bullish Hi Overbought


 

 

ETF Technical Leaders

The following table represents ETF's that are in bullish trends and represent technically attractive reward-to-risk entry points (for example, we will shy away from adding an overbought ETF). Although these ETF selections have been pre-screened, investors are advised to pursue their own research to determine whether they are appropriate for their portfolios. Selections are time-sensitive and represent short-term swing trading opportunities that may or may not follow-through on a longer-term basis. In addition, selections may be voided once a market trend change has occurred based on the TrendFlex signals. Visit our FAQ's  for more suggestions regarding ETF Zone. Check back frequently as additional ETF's may be added to the week's list. 

Symbol Rationale Close Date Added
RSX Basing at 50-day moving average; attractive entry 20.49 8/24/17
EWI iShares Italy ETF inexpensive and possible long-term bottom formed 22.13 12/02/16
XLY Retracement from recent gains; attractive entry point 81.44 12/02/16 
XLV  Post-election catch-up;  nearing positive moving avg. cross (50 over 200 day)  70.49 11/11/16 
Continue reading
539 Hits

Index & Sector ETF Signals - 9/22/2017 Update

TrendFlex signals for the major index and sector SPDR ETF's below are based on a trend-following system filtered to identify the "risk" to a change in the trend. 

Major Index ETF's 

 Symbol  Trend

Trend Change Risk

Notes
 DIA Bullish Hi Increased risk of pullback
 SPY  Bullish Hi

 Increased risk of pullback

 QQQ Bullish Med Tradding range; attractive entry
 IWM Bullish Med New high; overbought
 DBA Bearish Low Way oversold; can't seem to find a bottom
 GLD Bullish Low Attractive contrarian position; attractive entry point
 VGK Bullish Low Working toward new high
 UUP Bearish High Looking for a bounce
 TLT Bullish Med Attractive entry point
EEM Bullish Med Overbought


 Sector SPDR ETF's

 Symbol  Trend

Trend Change Risk

Notes
XLK Bullish Hi Overbought
XLU Bullish Low Attractive entry
XLI  Bullish Hi Increased risk of pullback
XLB Bullish Med Attractive entry
XLV  Bullish Med Attractive entry
XLE Bullish Low New uptrend; may see trading range
XLP  Bullish Hi Threatening support
XLY Bullish Med Attractive entry
XLF  Bullish Hi Overbought


 

 

ETF Technical Leaders

The following table represents ETF's that are in bullish trends and represent technically attractive reward-to-risk entry points (for example, we will shy away from adding an overbought ETF). Although these ETF selections have been pre-screened, investors are advised to pursue their own research to determine whether they are appropriate for their portfolios. Selections are time-sensitive and represent short-term swing trading opportunities that may or may not follow-through on a longer-term basis. In addition, selections may be voided once a market trend change has occurred based on the TrendFlex signals. Visit our FAQ's  for more suggestions regarding ETF Zone. Check back frequently as additional ETF's may be added to the week's list. 

Symbol Rationale Close Date Added
RSX Basing at 50-day moving average; attractive entry 20.49 8/24/17
EWI iShares Italy ETF inexpensive and possible long-term bottom formed 22.13 12/02/16
XLY Retracement from recent gains; attractive entry point 81.44 12/02/16 
XLV  Post-election catch-up;  nearing positive moving avg. cross (50 over 200 day)  70.49 11/11/16 
Continue reading
580 Hits

Index & Sector ETF Signals - 9/15/2017 Update

TrendFlex signals for the major index and sector SPDR ETF's below are based on a trend-following system filtered to identify the "risk" to a change in the trend. 

Major Index ETF's 

 Symbol  Trend

Trend Change Risk

Notes
 DIA Bullish Hi Increased risk of pullback
 SPY  Bullish Hi

 Increased risk of pullback

 QQQ Bullish Med Tradding range; attractive entry
 IWM Bullish Med Bouncing from support
 DBA Bearish Low Way oversold; can't seem to find a bottom
 GLD Bullish Low Attractive contrarian position; but lingering trading range
 VGK Bullish Low Working toward new high
 UUP Bearish Med Seeking major support
 TLT Bullish Med Continued trading range
EEM Bullish Low Bullish breakout


 Sector SPDR ETF's

 Symbol  Trend

Trend Change Risk

Notes
XLK Bullish Med Atttractive entry
XLU Bullish Hi Overbought
XLI  Bullish Hi Increased risk of pullback
XLB Bullish Med Attractive entry
XLV  Bullish Med Attractive entry
XLE Bearish Hi At major support; potential bounce here
XLP  Bullish Hi Threatening support
XLY Bullish Hi Increased risk of pullback
XLF  Bullish Med Attractive entry after modest pullback


 

 

ETF Technical Leaders

The following table represents ETF's that are in bullish trends and represent technically attractive reward-to-risk entry points (for example, we will shy away from adding an overbought ETF). Although these ETF selections have been pre-screened, investors are advised to pursue their own research to determine whether they are appropriate for their portfolios. Selections are time-sensitive and represent short-term swing trading opportunities that may or may not follow-through on a longer-term basis. In addition, selections may be voided once a market trend change has occurred based on the TrendFlex signals. Visit our FAQ's  for more suggestions regarding ETF Zone. Check back frequently as additional ETF's may be added to the week's list. 

Symbol Rationale Close Date Added
RSX Basing at 50-day moving average; attractive entry 20.49 8/24/17
EWI iShares Italy ETF inexpensive and possible long-term bottom formed 22.13 12/02/16
XLY Retracement from recent gains; attractive entry point 81.44 12/02/16 
XLV  Post-election catch-up;  nearing positive moving avg. cross (50 over 200 day)  70.49 11/11/16 
Continue reading
601 Hits

Index & Sector ETF Signals - 9/08/2017 Update

TrendFlex signals for the major index and sector SPDR ETF's below are based on a trend-following system filtered to identify the "risk" to a change in the trend. 

Major Index ETF's 

 Symbol  Trend

Trend Change Risk

Notes
 DIA Bullish Hi Increased risk of pullback
 SPY  Bullish Hi

 Increased risk of pullback

 QQQ Bullish Med Tradding range; attractive entry
 IWM Bullish Med Bouncing from support
 DBA Bearish Low Way oversold; can't seem to find a bottom
 GLD Bullish Low Attractive contrarian position; but lingering trading range
 VGK Bullish Low Working toward new high
 UUP Bearish Med Seeking major support
 TLT Bullish Med Continued trading range
EEM Bullish Low Bullish breakout


 Sector SPDR ETF's

 Symbol  Trend

Trend Change Risk

Notes
XLK Bullish Med Atttractive entry
XLU Bullish Hi Overbought
XLI  Bullish Hi Increased risk of pullback
XLB Bullish Med Attractive entry
XLV  Bullish Med Attractive entry
XLE Bearish Hi At major support; potential bounce here
XLP  Bullish Hi Threatening support
XLY Bullish Hi Increased risk of pullback
XLF  Bullish Med Attractive entry after modest pullback


 

 

ETF Technical Leaders

The following table represents ETF's that are in bullish trends and represent technically attractive reward-to-risk entry points (for example, we will shy away from adding an overbought ETF). Although these ETF selections have been pre-screened, investors are advised to pursue their own research to determine whether they are appropriate for their portfolios. Selections are time-sensitive and represent short-term swing trading opportunities that may or may not follow-through on a longer-term basis. In addition, selections may be voided once a market trend change has occurred based on the TrendFlex signals. Visit our FAQ's  for more suggestions regarding ETF Zone. Check back frequently as additional ETF's may be added to the week's list. 

Symbol Rationale Close Date Added
RSX Basing at 50-day moving average; attractive entry 20.49 8/24/17
EWI iShares Italy ETF inexpensive and possible long-term bottom formed 22.13 12/02/16
XLY Retracement from recent gains; attractive entry point 81.44 12/02/16 
XLV  Post-election catch-up;  nearing positive moving avg. cross (50 over 200 day)  70.49 11/11/16 
Continue reading
584 Hits

Index & Sector ETF Signals - 9/01/2017 Update

TrendFlex signals for the major index and sector SPDR ETF's below are based on a trend-following system filtered to identify the "risk" to a change in the trend. 

Major Index ETF's 

 Symbol  Trend

Trend Change Risk

Notes
 DIA Bullish Hi Increased risk of pullback
 SPY  Bullish Hi

 Increased risk of pullback

 QQQ Bullish Med Tradding range; attractive entry
 IWM Bullish Med Bouncing from support
 DBA Bearish Low Way oversold; can't seem to find a bottom
 GLD Bullish Low Attractive contrarian position; but lingering trading range
 VGK Bullish Low Working toward new high
 UUP Bearish Med Seeking major support
 TLT Bullish Med Continued trading range
EEM Bullish Low Bullish breakout


 Sector SPDR ETF's

 Symbol  Trend

Trend Change Risk

Notes
XLK Bullish Med Atttractive entry
XLU Bullish Hi Overbought
XLI  Bullish Hi Increased risk of pullback
XLB Bullish Med Attractive entry
XLV  Bullish Med Attractive entry
XLE Bearish Hi At major support; potential bounce here
XLP  Bullish Hi Threatening support
XLY Bullish Hi Increased risk of pullback
XLF  Bullish Med Attractive entry after modest pullback


 

 

ETF Technical Leaders

The following table represents ETF's that are in bullish trends and represent technically attractive reward-to-risk entry points (for example, we will shy away from adding an overbought ETF). Although these ETF selections have been pre-screened, investors are advised to pursue their own research to determine whether they are appropriate for their portfolios. Selections are time-sensitive and represent short-term swing trading opportunities that may or may not follow-through on a longer-term basis. In addition, selections may be voided once a market trend change has occurred based on the TrendFlex signals. Visit our FAQ's  for more suggestions regarding ETF Zone. Check back frequently as additional ETF's may be added to the week's list. 

Symbol Rationale Close Date Added
RSX Basing at 50-day moving average; attractive entry 20.49 8/24/17
EWI iShares Italy ETF inexpensive and possible long-term bottom formed 22.13 12/02/16
XLY Retracement from recent gains; attractive entry point 81.44 12/02/16 
XLV  Post-election catch-up;  nearing positive moving avg. cross (50 over 200 day)  70.49 11/11/16 

 

Allocation Strategy is updated on a bi-weekly basis, and takes a longer-term view consistent with the TrendFlex Allegiance system. Allocations are based on a blend of macro-economic trends and technical analysis, and incorporate the insight of our Thought Leaders as expressed on the Baseline Analytics website, and our ETF Signals analysis.  Portfolio allocation corresponds to an investor profile of moderate risk and a 20-year investment horizon.  Updates to Asset Allocation may be issued more frequently depending on market conditions.

Asset Allocation Strategy - 7/9/2017   

Instrument 

Underweight

Neutral

Overweight

Equities            
Fixed Income                     
Alternatives         
Cash          

Equities

Style

Large Caps      
   
Mid Caps          
Small Caps         ♦    

Sector

Staples           
Discretionary           
Technology          
Utilities    
     
Industrials          
Healthcare      
   
Materials        
Financials          
Energy      
   
Regions     
US          
Eurozone          
China    
     
India          
Japan          
Emerging Asia          
EMEA          
Latin America          

Fixed Income

Investment Grade          
High Yield          
Developed Market          
Emerging Market          
Treasuries          
TIPS          
Municipal          

Alternatives

Commodities          
Absolute Return        
REITS      
Convertible Bonds      
Continue reading
630 Hits

Index & Sector ETF Signals - 8/25/2017 Update

TrendFlex signals for the major index and sector SPDR ETF's below are based on a trend-following system filtered to identify the "risk" to a change in the trend. 

Major Index ETF's 

 Symbol  Trend

Trend Change Risk

Notes
 DIA Bullish Hi Increased risk of pullback
 SPY  Bullish Hi

 Increased risk of pullback

 QQQ Bullish Med Tradding range; attractive entry
 IWM Bullish Med Bouncing from support
 DBA Bearish Low Way oversold; can't seem to find a bottom
 GLD Bullish Low Attractive contrarian position; but lingering trading range
 VGK Bullish Low Working toward new high
 UUP Bearish Med Seeking major support
 TLT Bullish Med Continued trading range
EEM Bullish Low Bullish breakout


 Sector SPDR ETF's

 Symbol  Trend

Trend Change Risk

Notes
XLK Bullish Med Atttractive entry
XLU Bullish Hi Overbought
XLI  Bullish Hi Increased risk of pullback
XLB Bullish Med Attractive entry
XLV  Bullish Med Attractive entry
XLE Bearish Hi At major support; potential bounce here
XLP  Bullish Hi Threatening support
XLY Bullish Hi Increased risk of pullback
XLF  Bullish Med Attractive entry after modest pullback


 

 

ETF Technical Leaders

The following table represents ETF's that are in bullish trends and represent technically attractive reward-to-risk entry points (for example, we will shy away from adding an overbought ETF). Although these ETF selections have been pre-screened, investors are advised to pursue their own research to determine whether they are appropriate for their portfolios. Selections are time-sensitive and represent short-term swing trading opportunities that may or may not follow-through on a longer-term basis. In addition, selections may be voided once a market trend change has occurred based on the TrendFlex signals. Visit our FAQ's  for more suggestions regarding ETF Zone. Check back frequently as additional ETF's may be added to the week's list. 

Symbol Rationale Close Date Added
RSX Basing at 50-day moving average; attractive entry 20.49 8/24/17
EWI iShares Italy ETF inexpensive and possible long-term bottom formed 22.13 12/02/16
XLY Retracement from recent gains; attractive entry point 81.44 12/02/16 
XLV  Post-election catch-up;  nearing positive moving avg. cross (50 over 200 day)  70.49 11/11/16 

 

Allocation Strategy is updated on a bi-weekly basis, and takes a longer-term view consistent with the TrendFlex Allegiance system. Allocations are based on a blend of macro-economic trends and technical analysis, and incorporate the insight of our Thought Leaders as expressed on the Baseline Analytics website, and our ETF Signals analysis.  Portfolio allocation corresponds to an investor profile of moderate risk and a 20-year investment horizon.  Updates to Asset Allocation may be issued more frequently depending on market conditions.

Asset Allocation Strategy - 7/9/2017   

Instrument 

Underweight

Neutral

Overweight

Equities            
Fixed Income                     
Alternatives         
Cash          

Equities

Style

Large Caps      
   
Mid Caps          
Small Caps         ♦    

Sector

Staples           
Discretionary           
Technology          
Utilities    
     
Industrials          
Healthcare      
   
Materials        
Financials          
Energy      
   
Regions     
US          
Eurozone          
China    
     
India          
Japan          
Emerging Asia          
EMEA          
Latin America          

Fixed Income

Investment Grade          
High Yield          
Developed Market          
Emerging Market          
Treasuries          
TIPS          
Municipal          

Alternatives

Commodities          
Absolute Return        
REITS      
Convertible Bonds      
Continue reading
663 Hits

Index & Sector ETF Signals - 7/14/2017 Update

TrendFlex signals for the major index and sector SPDR ETF's below are based on a trend-following system filtered to identify the "risk" to a change in the trend. 

Major Index ETF's 

 Symbol  Trend

Trend Change Risk

Notes
 DIA Bullish Hi New high; increased risk of pullback
 SPY  Bullish Hi

 New high; increased risk of pullback

 QQQ Bullish Hi Nice pullback; attractive entry
 IWM Bullish Med Pushing toward resistance
 DBA Bearish Low Recent surge as USD weakens, overhead resistance
 GLD Bullish Low Attractive contrarian position
 VGK Bullish Low Working toward new high
 UUP Bullish Low Looking for support
 TLT Bullish Med Continued trading range
EEM Bullish Low Pushing toward new high; recent trading range


 Sector SPDR ETF's

 Symbol  Trend

Trend Change Risk

Notes
XLK Bullish Med Atttractive entry
XLU Bullish Hi Threatening major support
XLI  Bullish Hi Trading range; increased risk of pullback
XLB Bullish Low Pushing toward high
XLV  Bullish Low Attractive entry
XLE Bearish Med Looking for support; possibly formed a higher low
XLP  Bullish Hi Threatening support
XLY Bullish Hi Trading range; increased risk of pullback
XLF  Bullish Hi New high; beware double top


 

 

ETF Technical Leaders

The following table represents ETF's that are in bullish trends and represent technically attractive reward-to-risk entry points (for example, we will shy away from adding an overbought ETF). Although these ETF selections have been pre-screened, investors are advised to pursue their own research to determine whether they are appropriate for their portfolios. Selections are time-sensitive and represent short-term swing trading opportunities that may or may not follow-through on a longer-term basis. In addition, selections may be voided once a market trend change has occurred based on the TrendFlex signals. Visit our FAQ's  for more suggestions regarding ETF Zone. Check back frequently as additional ETF's may be added to the week's list. 

Symbol Rationale Close Date Added
EWI iShares Italy ETF inexpensive and possible long-term bottom formed 22.13 12/02/16
XLY Retracement from recent gains; attractive entry point 81.44 12/02/16 
XLV  Post-election catch-up;  nearing positive moving avg. cross (50 over 200 day)  70.49 11/11/16 

 

Allocation Strategy is updated on a bi-weekly basis, and takes a longer-term view consistent with the TrendFlex Allegiance system. Allocations are based on a blend of macro-economic trends and technical analysis, and incorporate the insight of our Thought Leaders as expressed on the Baseline Analytics website, and our ETF Signals analysis.  Portfolio allocation corresponds to an investor profile of moderate risk and a 20-year investment horizon.  Updates to Asset Allocation may be issued more frequently depending on market conditions.

Asset Allocation Strategy - 7/9/2017   

Instrument 

Underweight

Neutral

Overweight

Equities            
Fixed Income                     
Alternatives         
Cash          

Equities

Style

Large Caps      
   
Mid Caps          
Small Caps         ♦    

Sector

Staples           
Discretionary           
Technology          
Utilities    
     
Industrials          
Healthcare      
   
Materials        
Financials          
Energy      
   
Regions     
US          
Eurozone          
China    
     
India          
Japan          
Emerging Asia          
EMEA          
Latin America          

Fixed Income

Investment Grade          
High Yield          
Developed Market          
Emerging Market          
Treasuries          
TIPS          
Municipal          

Alternatives

Commodities          
Absolute Return        
REITS      
Convertible Bonds      
Continue reading
1873 Hits

Index & Sector ETF Signals - 7/7/2017 Update

TrendFlex signals for the major index and sector SPDR ETF's below are based on a trend-following system filtered to identify the "risk" to a change in the trend. 

Major Index ETF's 

 Symbol  Trend

Trend Change Risk

Notes
 DIA Bullish Hi Trading range; increased risk of pullback
 SPY  Bullish Hi

 Trading range; increased risk of pullback

 QQQ Bullish Hi Nice pullback; attractive entry
 IWM Bullish Med Pushing toward resistance
 DBA Bearish Low Recent surge as USD weakens, overhead resistance
 GLD Bullish Low Attractive contrarian position
 VGK Bullish Low Working toward new high
 UUP Bullish Low Looking for support
 TLT Bullish Med Continued trading range
EEM Bullish Low Pushing toward new high; recent trading range


 Sector SPDR ETF's

 Symbol  Trend

Trend Change Risk

Notes
XLK Bullish Med Atttractive entry
XLU Bullish Hi Threatening major support
XLI  Bullish Hi Trading range; increased risk of pullback
XLB Bullish Low Pushing toward high
XLV  Bullish Low Attractive entry
XLE Bearish Med Looking for support; possibly formed a higher low
XLP  Bullish Hi Threatening support
XLY Bullish Hi Trading range; increased risk of pullback
XLF  Bullish Hi New high; beware double top


 

 

ETF Technical Leaders

The following table represents ETF's that are in bullish trends and represent technically attractive reward-to-risk entry points (for example, we will shy away from adding an overbought ETF). Although these ETF selections have been pre-screened, investors are advised to pursue their own research to determine whether they are appropriate for their portfolios. Selections are time-sensitive and represent short-term swing trading opportunities that may or may not follow-through on a longer-term basis. In addition, selections may be voided once a market trend change has occurred based on the TrendFlex signals. Visit our FAQ's  for more suggestions regarding ETF Zone. Check back frequently as additional ETF's may be added to the week's list. 

Symbol Rationale Close Date Added
EWI iShares Italy ETF inexpensive and possible long-term bottom formed 22.13 12/02/16
XLY Retracement from recent gains; attractive entry point 81.44 12/02/16 
XLV  Post-election catch-up;  nearing positive moving avg. cross (50 over 200 day)  70.49 11/11/16 

 

Allocation Strategy is updated on a bi-weekly basis, and takes a longer-term view consistent with the TrendFlex Allegiance system. Allocations are based on a blend of macro-economic trends and technical analysis, and incorporate the insight of our Thought Leaders as expressed on the Baseline Analytics website, and our ETF Signals analysis.  Portfolio allocation corresponds to an investor profile of moderate risk and a 20-year investment horizon.  Updates to Asset Allocation may be issued more frequently depending on market conditions.

Asset Allocation Strategy - 7/9/2017   

Instrument 

Underweight

Neutral

Overweight

Equities            
Fixed Income                     
Alternatives         
Cash          

Equities

Style

Large Caps      
   
Mid Caps          
Small Caps         ♦    

Sector

Staples           
Discretionary           
Technology          
Utilities    
     
Industrials          
Healthcare      
   
Materials        
Financials          
Energy      
   
Regions     
US          
Eurozone          
China    
     
India          
Japan          
Emerging Asia          
EMEA          
Latin America          

Fixed Income

Investment Grade          
High Yield          
Developed Market          
Emerging Market          
Treasuries          
TIPS          
Municipal          

Alternatives

Commodities          
Absolute Return        
REITS      
Convertible Bonds      
Continue reading
1861 Hits

Index & Sector ETF Signals - 6/30/2017 Update

TrendFlex signals for the major index and sector SPDR ETF's below are based on a trend-following system filtered to identify the "risk" to a change in the trend. 

Major Index ETF's 

 Symbol  Trend

Trend Change Risk

Notes
 DIA Bullish Hi New high; overbought
 SPY  Bullish Hi

 New high, overbought

 QQQ Bullish Hi New high; overbought
 IWM Bullish Med Pushing toward resistance
 DBA Bearish Low Continues working on long term bottom
 GLD Bullish Low Attractive contrarian position
 VGK Bullish Med Working toward new high
 UUP Bullish Low Consolidating
 TLT Bullish Med Working on new uptrend; trading range more likely
EEM Bullish Med Pushing toward new high


 Sector SPDR ETF's

 Symbol  Trend

Trend Change Risk

Notes
XLK Bullish Hi Strong trend; overbought
XLU Bullish Hi Overbought
XLI  Bullish Hi Overbought
XLB Bullish Med Pushing toward high
XLV  Bullish Hi Overbought
XLE Bearish Med Looking for support
XLP  Bullish Hi Overbought
XLY Bullish Hi Overbought
XLF  Bullish Med Attractive entry at support


 

 

ETF Technical Leaders

The following table represents ETF's that are in bullish trends and represent technically attractive reward-to-risk entry points (for example, we will shy away from adding an overbought ETF). Although these ETF selections have been pre-screened, investors are advised to pursue their own research to determine whether they are appropriate for their portfolios. Selections are time-sensitive and represent short-term swing trading opportunities that may or may not follow-through on a longer-term basis. In addition, selections may be voided once a market trend change has occurred based on the TrendFlex signals. Visit our FAQ's  for more suggestions regarding ETF Zone. Check back frequently as additional ETF's may be added to the week's list. 

Symbol Rationale Close Date Added
EWI iShares Italy ETF inexpensive and possible long-term bottom formed 22.13 12/02/16
XLY Retracement from recent gains; attractive entry point 81.44 12/02/16 
XLV  Post-election catch-up;  nearing positive moving avg. cross (50 over 200 day)  70.49 11/11/16 

 

Allocation Strategy is updated on a bi-weekly basis, and takes a longer-term view consistent with the TrendFlex Allegiance system. Allocations are based on a blend of macro-economic trends and technical analysis, and incorporate the insight of our Thought Leaders as expressed on the Baseline Analytics website, and our ETF Signals analysis.  Portfolio allocation corresponds to an investor profile of moderate risk and a 20-year investment horizon.  Updates to Asset Allocation may be issued more frequently depending on market conditions.

Asset Allocation Strategy - 6/2/2017   

Instrument 

Underweight

Neutral

Overweight

Equities            
Fixed Income            ♦       
Alternatives         
Cash          

Equities

Style

Large Caps      
   
Mid Caps          
Small Caps         ♦    

Sector

Staples           
Discretionary           
Technology          
Utilities    
     
Industrials          
Healthcare      
   
Materials        
Financials          
Energy      
   
Regions     
US          
Eurozone          
China    
     
India          
Japan          
Emerging Asia          
EMEA          
Latin America          

Fixed Income

Investment Grade          
High Yield          
Developed Market          
Emerging Market          
Treasuries          
TIPS          
Municipal          

Alternatives

Commodities          
Absolute Return        
REITS      
Convertible Bonds      
Continue reading
1792 Hits

Index & Sector ETF Signals - 6/23/2017 Update

TrendFlex signals for the major index and sector SPDR ETF's below are based on a trend-following system filtered to identify the "risk" to a change in the trend. 

Major Index ETF's 

 Symbol  Trend

Trend Change Risk

Notes
 DIA Bullish Hi New high; overbought
 SPY  Bullish Hi

 New high, overbought

 QQQ Bullish Hi New high; overbought
 IWM Bullish Med Pushing toward resistance
 DBA Bearish Low Continues working on long term bottom
 GLD Bullish Low Attractive contrarian position
 VGK Bullish Med Working toward new high
 UUP Bullish Low Consolidating
 TLT Bullish Med Working on new uptrend; trading range more likely
EEM Bullish Med Pushing toward new high


 Sector SPDR ETF's

 Symbol  Trend

Trend Change Risk

Notes
XLK Bullish Hi Strong trend; overbought
XLU Bullish Hi Overbought
XLI  Bullish Hi Overbought
XLB Bullish Med Pushing toward high
XLV  Bullish Hi Overbought
XLE Bearish Med Looking for support
XLP  Bullish Hi Overbought
XLY Bullish Hi Overbought
XLF  Bullish Med Attractive entry at support


 

 

ETF Technical Leaders

The following table represents ETF's that are in bullish trends and represent technically attractive reward-to-risk entry points (for example, we will shy away from adding an overbought ETF). Although these ETF selections have been pre-screened, investors are advised to pursue their own research to determine whether they are appropriate for their portfolios. Selections are time-sensitive and represent short-term swing trading opportunities that may or may not follow-through on a longer-term basis. In addition, selections may be voided once a market trend change has occurred based on the TrendFlex signals. Visit our FAQ's  for more suggestions regarding ETF Zone. Check back frequently as additional ETF's may be added to the week's list. 

Symbol Rationale Close Date Added
EWI iShares Italy ETF inexpensive and possible long-term bottom formed 22.13 12/02/16
XLY Retracement from recent gains; attractive entry point 81.44 12/02/16 
XLV  Post-election catch-up;  nearing positive moving avg. cross (50 over 200 day)  70.49 11/11/16 

 

Allocation Strategy is updated on a bi-weekly basis, and takes a longer-term view consistent with the TrendFlex Allegiance system. Allocations are based on a blend of macro-economic trends and technical analysis, and incorporate the insight of our Thought Leaders as expressed on the Baseline Analytics website, and our ETF Signals analysis.  Portfolio allocation corresponds to an investor profile of moderate risk and a 20-year investment horizon.  Updates to Asset Allocation may be issued more frequently depending on market conditions.

Asset Allocation Strategy - 6/2/2017   

Instrument 

Underweight

Neutral

Overweight

Equities            
Fixed Income            ♦       
Alternatives         
Cash          

Equities

Style

Large Caps      
   
Mid Caps          
Small Caps         ♦    

Sector

Staples           
Discretionary           
Technology          
Utilities    
     
Industrials          
Healthcare      
   
Materials        
Financials          
Energy      
   
Regions     
US          
Eurozone          
China    
     
India          
Japan          
Emerging Asia          
EMEA          
Latin America          

Fixed Income

Investment Grade          
High Yield          
Developed Market          
Emerging Market          
Treasuries          
TIPS          
Municipal          

Alternatives

Commodities          
Absolute Return        
REITS      
Convertible Bonds      
Continue reading
1751 Hits

Index & Sector ETF Signals - 6/162017 Update

TrendFlex signals for the major index and sector SPDR ETF's below are based on a trend-following system filtered to identify the "risk" to a change in the trend. 

Major Index ETF's 

 Symbol  Trend

Trend Change Risk

Notes
 DIA Bullish Hi New high; overbought
 SPY  Bullish Hi

 New high, overbought

 QQQ Bullish Hi New high; overbought
 IWM Bullish Med Pusing toward resistance
 DBA Bearish Low Continues working on long term bottom
 GLD Bullish Low Attractive contrarian position
 VGK Bullish Med Working toward new high
 UUP Bullish Low Consolidating
 TLT Bullish Med Working on new uptrend; trading range more likely
EEM Bullish Med Pushing toward new high


 Sector SPDR ETF's

 Symbol  Trend

Trend Change Risk

Notes
XLK Bullish Hi Strong trend; overbought
XLU Bullish Hi Overbought
XLI  Bullish Hi Overbought
XLB Bullish Med Pushing toward high
XLV  Bullish Hi Overbought
XLE Bearish Med Looking for support
XLP  Bullish Hi Overbought
XLY Bullish Hi Overbought
XLF  Bullish Med Attractive entry at support


 

 

ETF Technical Leaders

The following table represents ETF's that are in bullish trends and represent technically attractive reward-to-risk entry points (for example, we will shy away from adding an overbought ETF). Although these ETF selections have been pre-screened, investors are advised to pursue their own research to determine whether they are appropriate for their portfolios. Selections are time-sensitive and represent short-term swing trading opportunities that may or may not follow-through on a longer-term basis. In addition, selections may be voided once a market trend change has occurred based on the TrendFlex signals. Visit our FAQ's  for more suggestions regarding ETF Zone. Check back frequently as additional ETF's may be added to the week's list. 

Symbol Rationale Close Date Added
EWI iShares Italy ETF inexpensive and possible long-term bottom formed 22.13 12/02/16
XLY Retracement from recent gains; attractive entry point 81.44 12/02/16 
XLV  Post-election catch-up;  nearing positive moving avg. cross (50 over 200 day)  70.49 11/11/16 

 

Allocation Strategy is updated on a bi-weekly basis, and takes a longer-term view consistent with the TrendFlex Allegiance system. Allocations are based on a blend of macro-economic trends and technical analysis, and incorporate the insight of our Thought Leaders as expressed on the Baseline Analytics website, and our ETF Signals analysis.  Portfolio allocation corresponds to an investor profile of moderate risk and a 20-year investment horizon.  Updates to Asset Allocation may be issued more frequently depending on market conditions.

Asset Allocation Strategy - 6/2/2017   

Instrument 

Underweight

Neutral

Overweight

Equities            
Fixed Income            ♦       
Alternatives         
Cash          

Equities

Style

Large Caps      
   
Mid Caps          
Small Caps         ♦    

Sector

Staples           
Discretionary           
Technology          
Utilities    
     
Industrials          
Healthcare      
   
Materials        
Financials          
Energy      
   
Regions     
US          
Eurozone          
China    
     
India          
Japan          
Emerging Asia          
EMEA          
Latin America          

Fixed Income

Investment Grade          
High Yield          
Developed Market          
Emerging Market          
Treasuries          
TIPS          
Municipal          

Alternatives

Commodities          
Absolute Return        
REITS      
Convertible Bonds      
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